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Planning Unintended Consequences

A strange title that just popped into my head. Thanks again to all my friends who are giving me so much love and support during this awful time. Last night I stepped out to visit a friend and found this on the sidewalk in front of my apartment.

It speaks for itself. We both thank the anonymous artist.

As for the title, well, I was reading the Dec. 12 New Yorker, the Financial Page by James Surowiecki, which I don’t generally think much of, but he made an interesting observation that misses the main meaning of itself. Talking about the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (SarbOx) and the growing frustration of large corporations having to spend a lot of time and money meeting its mandate to more closely monitor corporate financial reporting, he defends it by listing how badly distorted ‘normal’ capitalist business was by the frauds perpetrated by Enron, Worldcom, et al:

“They made foolish acquistions and high-profile investments that destroyed value instead of creating it–studies suggest that, in the telecommunications sector alone, bad investments totalled tens of billions of dollars. And they hired lots of people whom, in the end, they probably didn’t need.

“A recent paper by Simi Kedia, of Rutgers, and Thomas Philippon, of NYU, for instance, looked at all the companies known to have been managing earnings between 1997 and 2000. In those years, the companies boosted hiring by a full twenty-five percent, while other companies increased hiring by less than seven percent. As soon as the companies were forced to come clean, the employees were sacked… re-stating companies fired between 250,000 and 600,000 employees between 2000 and 2002.

“All this playacting affected not just the fraudulent companies but also their competitors, with serious consequences for the American economy at large… An accounting professor at Columbia suggests [that] WorldCom’s lies–about its profits, about the amount of internet traffic its network was carrying, and about the total demand for telecom capacity–made competitors like AT&T and Spring look inefficient. Trying to keep pace with WorldCom led these companies to overinvestment in new technology and to price wars, followed by cost-cutting campaigns, layoffs, and in AT&T’s case, the decision to break up the company. WorldCom’s deception… led to the misallocation of billions of dollars in capital across an entire industry, and rearranged the lives of tens of thousands of workers…”

The next time someone glibly insists that markets are the most rational way to allocate resources, and that social planning would create some kind of disaster of inefficiency and wasted resources, pull this anecdote out of your hat and shove it down their throat!

Engineering Public Safety

Personal drama aside. Thanks to everyone for the incredible outpouring of warmth and support. I really feel it. Thank you.

I was buying a coffee at the SOMA cafe today and glanced at the SF Chronicle, usually such a worthless rag that I can barely read anything but the headlines. But to my utter amazement a left column article detailed how engineers in the Dept. of Building Inspection have halted the mammoth 550-ft. tall Rincon Towers project that just broke ground a few months ago. Why? Because the public engineers are not convinced that the design can survive an earthquake! I’m flabbergasted.

UCSF has been building biohazard facilities on landfill in Mission Bay and there’s been nary a peep about public safety. It seems like everyone believes that modern engineering can defeat the movement of the earth, no matter how bad. But then this new tower (larger than the monster proposed by US Steel back in the early ’70s that was defeated by intense public opposition), which seemed to be on the fast track thanks to the funds extracted from the developer for community and housing funds, provokes the city’s inspectors to call a halt for safety.

Tellingly, the developers’ engineering firm offers its interpretation of what the extent of the code’s expectations are:

“It is our interpretation that the intent of the code is to provide design procedures that will result in structures that may be significantly damaged or perhaps unrepairable, but remain standing following a major earthquake,” read one reply from Magnusson Klemencic among hundreds of pages of technical documents reviewed by The Chronicle.

Hearty thanks to Chief Engineer Hanson Tom who threw the flag on this. After ruminating on public health and general preparedness for disasters of various natural and unnatural types, I’d really given up on anyone working for the City taking their job seriously enough to contest the Money that runs this town. Still a long way to go, but here’s to hoping for more bureaucrats with balls!

A Broken Heart

I may be absent for a bit here. The love of my life, Mona Caron, has decided to leave our relationship. These things happen every day to other people but when it happens to you–I mean me–well, sledgehammer, hit by a truck, the metaphors fail. I am hurting, real bad. I thank all my friends who are sending me love and support, which is so important to me, and incredibly helpful at a time when the pit of despair is at the edge of each moment. I have no idea who reads this blog, but I know a circle of friends and acquaintances do, so I’m using this to give you all the news quickly. Thanks again for your love and support. I’ll be back, maybe sooner than later, but right now, it’s impossible to say.